Politics and Economics
18/06/2009World Bank Raises China 2009 Growth Forecast to 7.2%
June 18 (Bloomberg) -- The World Bank raised its growth forecast for China this year and advised policy makers to delay until 2010 any additional stimulus plan to boost the world’s third-largest economy.
China’s economy will expand 7.2 percent in 2009 from a year earlier, up from a 6.5 percent forecast in March, the Washington-based lender said in a quarterly report released today in Beijing. Stocks gained after the announcement.
The World Bank joins Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Morgan Stanley and UBS AG. in raising growth forecasts this year after a 4 trillion yuan ($585 billion) stimulus package triggered record loans and surging investment. China, the biggest contributor to global growth in 2007, is relying on government spending as exports slump because of the world recession.
The bank said it’s “too early” to say there is a sustained recovery, citing the economy’s dependence on the stimulus and echoing a State Council caution yesterday against excessive optimism.
“Despite all the World Bank’s caution, it did feel compelled to raise its growth forecast,” said David Cohen, head of Asian forecasting at Action Economics in Singapore. “That’s indicative of increased confidence regarding the global outlook right now.”
